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Deep Briefs

Investing
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Why America Bailed Out the Yen: The Japan Carry Trade, the Dollar and Your Mortgage Rate
Investing
Why America Bailed Out the Yen: The Japan Carry Trade, the Dollar and Your Mortgage Rate
Investing
Treasury Yields Are Spiking Because Lenders Are Backing Away From U.S. Debt
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Fiat Currency Runs on Trust, and the World Just Stopped Trusting the Dollar
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Why Is Everything So Expensive? Why Prices May Never Come Back Down
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Why Is Everything So Expensive? Why Prices May Never Come Back Down
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The U.S. Housing Market Just Flipped: Renting a Home Now Beats Buying One
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An Interest Rate Hike in 2026? The Fed Just Broke Its Own Script
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Your 401k Is Fueling the AI Bubble
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Blogs

September 17, 2026
Why America Bailed Out the Yen: The Japan Carry Trade, the Dollar and Your Mortgage Rate
By Milena Thomas
  • In July 2026 the US sent money to steady the yen because Japan is the largest foreign owner of US debt, and Washington needs Japan to keep lending.
  • For decades the Japan carry trade let Wall Street borrow yen at essentially 0% and pour it into US stocks, real estate and Treasuries, and rising Japanese rates are shutting that off.
  • A weaker yen means fewer buyers for the dollar and for US debt, which pushes Treasury rates up and drags mortgage, car loan and credit card rates up with them.
Read More
September 16, 2026
Treasury Yields Are Spiking Because Lenders Are Backing Away From U.S. Debt
By Jackson Moreland
  • The U.S. is paying its highest 30-year borrowing rate in about two decades because its biggest lenders, the Fed, foreign governments, and banks, are all pulling back from Treasuries.
  • Every mortgage, car loan, credit card, and business loan is priced off the 10-year Treasury yield, so when Washington pays more to borrow, so do you.
  • With about $40 trillion of debt against a $32 trillion economy, the country either outgrows its debt or slides into a doom loop, and investors need a plan for both.
Read More
September 15, 2026
Fiat Currency Runs on Trust, and the World Just Stopped Trusting the Dollar
By Nate Gregory
  • Gold has overtaken US treasuries as the world's top reserve asset, and central banks are now buying less US debt and more gold.
  • The US dollar is a fiat currency, meaning it's backed by a promise rather than gold, so it loses value when fewer countries want to hold it.
  • Whether the US economy or its national debt grows faster from here decides which assets stand to benefit next.
Read More
September 14, 2026
Why RAM Prices Are Soaring - and Where the Money Is Moving
By Cierra Seay
  • Memory chips - the RAM inside phones, laptops, fridges, and trucks - are in a shortage Tim Cook called a 100-year flood, and some memory prices have climbed about 90% in a single quarter.
  • Four forces hit at once: AI demand, a production shutdown in 2023, build times that push any fix to 2028 at the earliest, and a bombed helium plant in Qatar.
  • The last two supply shocks ended in aggressive Fed rate hikes and market drops of around 45% and 20%, and this time Washington is spending heavily to bring memory production home.
Read More
September 11, 2026
How Is the Economy Doing? Washington Says It's Fixed, but the Numbers Don't Agree
By Nate Gregory
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the economy is fixed because lower earners' incomes are now rising faster than top earners'.
  • The Atlanta Fed and Bank of America show different numbers, and Hilton, Marriott, and McDonald's can't agree on what they're seeing either.
  • Whichever side is right, the economy is built to make investors rich, and inflation is how it does it.
Read More
September 10, 2026
US National Debt Hits $40 Trillion: Why the Economy Hasn't Collapsed Yet
By Nate Gregory
  • The US national debt crossed $40 trillion in 2026 and is growing faster than the economy. The debt to GDP ratio now sits at 125%, the highest outside the pandemic and higher than World War II.
  • On September 9, 2026, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent rolled out an emergency plan for the government to lend money to itself. Ray Dalio now says the dollar has roughly three years before real pain.
  • Empires rarely default. They debase. Since 1971, median household income grew about 8x while houses grew 17x and the S&P 500 grew 360x, so investors got richer while workers fell behind.
Read More
September 9, 2026
Your 401k Is Fueling the AI Bubble
By Andre Savage
  • About $10 trillion of 401k money sits in a $77 trillion stock market, mostly through target date funds and S&P 500 funds. Roughly 30% of every S&P 500 dollar lands in five AI-heavy tech stocks.
  • Four bubble signals run hotter today than before the 2000 crash: top-ten concentration, tech's share of the index, the Buffett Indicator, and how much of the market index funds own.
  • You only lock in an AI bubble loss if you sell. The 2022, 2020, 2008, and 2000 crashes were all buying windows for long-term investors, and the US-China AI race means government money could keep flowing in.
Read More
September 9, 2026
What Is Wealth Preservation? How To Protect Your Money From Anything
By Nate Gregory
  • Wealth preservation is an investing strategy built around keeping the money you've already made instead of chasing growth.
  • It leans on assets that hold steady when markets fall - gold, Treasury bonds, and companies that keep earning through wars, crashes, and pandemics.
  • The tradeoff is real: you give up some upside, and the two key numbers to check are maximum drawdown and correlation to the market.
Read More
September 8, 2026
Why Is Everything So Expensive? Why Prices May Never Come Back Down
By Cierra Seay
  • Official inflation is 3.4% and prices are up 32% since 2020, but rent (41%), gas (47%), car insurance (64%) and ground beef (79%) all outran the 28% median wage.
  • The Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation on purpose. Rising prices push extra dollars to investors and shrink the real cost of a $40 trillion national debt.
  • Investors who simply owned the S&P 500 gained about 150% over the same six years, and the Fed's September 16 decision will show whether it protects the dollar or the economy first.
Read More
September 7, 2026
The U.S. Housing Market Just Flipped: Renting a Home Now Beats Buying One
By Kalbir Talwar
  • The US is in a buyer's market in 41 of the 50 largest metro areas, but prices sit near record highs and mortgage rates are close to 7%.
  • The same median house costs 27% more than it did in 2021 while the monthly payment costs 90% more, and incomes rose a little more than 10%.
  • A 2008-style crash is not showing up in the data, so the pressure is landing on buyers instead of prices.
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